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1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8
2.0 INTRODUCTION 9
2.1 EVOLUTION OF THE WIRELESS MARKETPLACE 9
2.1.1 KEY EVOLUTIONARY TRENDS 9
2.1.2 KEY SUPPORTING TECHNOLOGIES 12
2.2 BROADBAND WIRELESS EVOLUTION 13
2.2.1 FIRST GENERATION (1G) 13
2.2.2 SECOND GENERATION (2G) 14
2.2.3 THIRD GENERATION (3G) 14
2.2.4 FOURTH GENERATION (4G) 14
2.2.1 FIFTH GENERATION (5G) 19
3.0 LTE GLOBAL STATUS 21
3.1 GLOBAL MARKET SHARE BY TECHNOLOGY 21
3.2 GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIBERS AND PENETRATION BY COUNTRY 21
3.3 GLOBAL DEPLOYMENT: LTE BY REGION, COUNTRY AND CARRIER 33
3.4 GLOBAL OVERALL (2G, 3G, AND 4G) MOBILE PENETRATION 43
3.5 GLOBAL LTE INDUSTRY VERTICALS 44
3.5.1 OIL AND GAS 44
3.5.2 CONSTRUCTION 45
3.5.3 AGRICULTURE 45
3.5.4 MINING 45
3.5.5 UTILITIES 46
3.5.6 TRANSPORTATION 46
3.5.7 MILITARY/DEFENSE 47
3.5.8 PUBLIC SAFETY 48
3.5.9 EDUCATION AND DISTANCE LEARNING 49
3.6 GLOBAL LTE DEVICES 50
3.7 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA USAGE 51
3.8 GLOBAL MOBILE INTERNET AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL INTERNET 52
3.9 GLOBAL MOBILE BROADBAND SNAPSHOT: 1Q 2013 53
3.10 SPECTRUM CURRENTLY UTILIZED FOR LTE 54
3.10.1 THE KEY SPECTRUM SUB-BAND: 1755-1780 MHZ 55
3.10.2 NATIONAL BROADBAND PLAN 55
3.10.3 LTE INDUSTRY SPECTRUM CHALLENGE: FRAGMENTATION 56
3.10.4 LTE INDUSTRY SPECTRUM SOLUTION: ADAPTIVE AND COGNITIVE RADIO 56
3.11 PAST AND PROJECTED CELLULAR NETWORK INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING 57
3.11.1 MACRO CELL INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING BY REGION 62
3.11.2 CARRIER WIFI INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING 70
4.0 LTE REGIONAL STATUS 71
4.1 OVERALL REGIONAL ANALYSIS 71
4.1.1 MOBILE USAGE DURING THE LAST TWENTY YEARS BY REPRESENTATIVE COUNTRY 71
4.1.2 GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIBERS BY REGION 72
4.1.3 TOP DATA USAGE BY COUNTRY FOR 3G AND LTE 72
4.1.4 COMS, COMMERCE, AND APP USAGE PATTERNS IN REPRESENTATIVE COUNTRIES 73
4.2 AMERICAS 74
4.2.1 LTE IN USA 76
4.2.2 LTE IN LATIN AMERICA 77
4.3 EUROPE 79
4.3.1 FRANCE 81
4.3.2 GERMANY 81
4.3.3 ITALY 81
4.3.4 SPAIN 82
4.3.5 UNITED KINGDOM 82
4.4 MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA 82
4.4.1 MIDDLE EAST 83
4.4.2 AFRICA 84
4.5 ASIA PACIFIC 86
4.5.1 AUSTRALIA 86
4.5.1 CHINA 87
4.5.2 INDIA 87
4.5.1 JAPAN 89
4.5.2 SOUTH KOREA 90
5.0 LTE PLANNING AND IMPLEMENTATION 92
5.1 CONSIDERATION OF KEY CHARACTERISTICS OF TECHNOLOGIES 92
5.2 STRATEGY FOR GROWTH OF LTE DEPENDENT ON CAPACITY NEEDS 97
5.2.1 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA HISTORICAL GROWTH AND FORECASTS 97
5.2.2 GLOBAL GROWTH FORECAST PER WIRELESS DEVICE TYPE 98
5.2.3 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA FORECAST GROWTH PER REGION 101
5.3 MIGRATION FROM CURRENT NETWORKS TO LTE 101
6.0 LTE OSS IMPROVEMENTS 103
6.1 DRIVERS FOR OSS IMPROVEMENTS 103
6.2 SELF-OPTIMIZING NETWORKS (SON) 103
6.2.1 WHY SON FOR LTE? 103
6.2.2 SON CATEGORIES AND USE CASES 106
6.2.3 SON IMPLEMENTATION 108
7.0 CARRIER CHALLENGES 112
7.1 SPECTRUM AVAILABILITY 112
7.2 CAPEX BUDGETS 112
7.3 IS MORE CAPACITY BETTER? 112
7.3.1 ADVANTAGES 112
7.3.2 DISADVANTAGES 112
7.4 THE FIGHT AGAINST OTT PLAYERS 113
7.4.1 OTT VOICE 113
7.4.2 OTT MESSAGING 113
7.4.3 CARRIERS TO FIGHT BACK 115
7.5 THE DRIVERS FOR NEW APPLICATIONS 117
8.0 LTE APPLICATION STRATEGY 119
8.1 PREPARE FOR MUCH MORE DATA USAGE 119
8.1.1 BIGGEST FACTOR IN MOBILE DATA: MOBILE VIDEO 119
8.1.2 MOBILE VIDEO FORECAST 120
8.2 PREPARE FOR INCREASINGLY MORE SERVICES IN THE CLOUD 120
8.2.1 THE ROLE OF INCUMBENT NETWORK OPERATORS IN MOBILE CLOUD 121
8.2.2 MOBILE DATA IN THE CLOUD FORECAST 122
8.3 PREPARE FOR INCREASINGLY MARGINALIZED CORE SERVICES 122
8.3.1 MARGINALIZATION DRIVES THE NEED FOR VALUE-ADDED SERVICES 122
8.3.2 VALUED SERVICES INCLUDE COMMERCE, CONTENT AND APPS 123
8.4 PREPARE FOR DEPLOYMENT OF VALUE-ADDED SERVICES 127
8.4.1 WHAT IS A VALUE-ADDED SERVICE (VAS)? 127
8.4.2 RELATIONSHIP OF VAS TO OTHER SERVICES 128
8.4.3 WHY ARE VAS IMPORTANT? 128
8.4.4 THE VAS SUPPLY CHAIN 128
8.4.5 CARRIER PLANNING FOR VAS APPLICATIONS 128
9.0 LTE APPLICATION ROADMAP 130
9.1 VIDEO 130
9.1.1 MORE OF THE SAME: ONLY FASTER 131
9.1.2 VIDEO CALL 134
9.1.3 LTE VIDEO BROADCAST 135
9.1.4 MOBILE TV IN LTE 136
9.2 VOICE OVER LTE (VOLTE) 140
9.2.1 GSMA VOLTE INIATIVES 141
9.2.2 ALTERNATIVES TO VOLTE 142
9.3 RICH COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES (RCS) 143
9.3.1 GSMA RCS INITIATIVES 145
9.3.2 RICH CALLS 146
9.3.3 RICH MESSAGING 147
9.3.4 RCS AND VIDEO 148
9.3.5 DYNAMIC ADDRESS BOOK (DAB) 148
9.4 LTE DIRECT 150
9.4.1 DIRECT SERVICES 151
10.0 LTE FORECASTS 154
10.1 GLOBAL LTE FORECASTS 154
10.1.1 GLOBAL SUBSCRIPTIONS 2013 – 2018 154
10.1.2 GLOBAL REVENUE 2013 ? 2018 154
10.2 GLOBAL CONSUMER VS. ENTERPRISE FORECASTS 155
10.2.1 GLOBAL CONSUMER VS. ENTERPRISE SUBSCRIPTIONS 2013 – 2018 155
10.2.2 GLOBAL CONSUMER VS. ENTERPRISE REVENUE 2013 – 2018 155
10.3 LTE MARKET SEGMENTS 156
10.3.1 LTE IN INDUSTRY VERTICALS 156
10.3.2 GLOBAL LTE SUBSCRIPTIONS BY MAJOR INDUSTRY SEGMENT 2013 ? 2018 160
10.4 GLOBAL LTE DEVICE FORECAST 2013 – 2018 161
10.5 GLOBAL MOBILE DATA TRAFFIC 2012-2017 162
10.5.1 BY CATEGORY 162
10.5.2 BY DEVICE TYPE 162
10.5.3 BY REGION 163
10.6 PROJECTED MOBILE CONNECTION SPEEDS BY REGION 2012 ? 2017 163
11.0 THE FUTURE OF LTE 165
11.1 DEVICES AND SUBSCRIBERS 165
11.1.1 SUBSCRIBER BEHAVIORS EVOLVE 166
11.1.2 CONSUMER ELECTRONICS AND LTE 167
11.1.3 THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR SMARTPHONES AND TABLETS 169
11.1.4 NEXT GENERATION DEVICES AND LTE 171
11.2 FUTURE NETWORK TOPOLOGY 172
11.2.1 CONTINUED SMALL CELL EXPANSION 172
11.2.2 HETEROGENEOUS NETWORKS (HETNETS) 173
11.2.3 LTE TOPOLOGY ROADMAP 174
11.3 FUTURE APPLICATIONS 175
11.3.1 LTE AND SOCIAL NETWORKS/MEDIA 176
11.3.2 LTE AND MOBILE MARKETING/ADVERTISING 177
11.3.3 LTE ENABLED MOBILE COMMERCE 178
11.3.4 CLOUD STORAGE/ACCESS 180
11.3.5 PEER-TO-PEER (P2P) COMMUNICATIONS 180
11.3.6 AUGMENTED REALITY (AR) 182
11.3.7 WEARABLE WIRELESS DRIVES NEW APPLICATIONS 186
11.3.8 THE ENTERPRISE/CORPORATE DASHBOARD 187
11.3.9 MACHINE-TO-MACHINE (M2M) AND THE INTERNET OF THINGS (IOT) 189
11.3.10 CONVERGENCE OF M2M, IOT, SOCIAL, AND BIG DATA = HUGE OPPORTUNITY 193
11.4 NEW LTE BUSINESS MODELS 194
11.4.1 MOBILE NETWORK API MODELS 194
11.4.2 WORKING WITH THE CARRIERS 195
11.4.3 DEALING WITH CARRIER CONCERNS IN NEW BUSINESS MODELS 197
11.4.4 THE EMERGENCE OF A STRUCTURED THIRD-PARTY ECOSYSTEM 199
12.0 BEYOND 4G/LTE 202
12.1 THE VISION FOR 5G 202
12.1.1 EVOLUTION FROM 4G TO 5G 202
12.2 FLAT AND DE-CENTRALIZED IP ARCHITECTURE 202
12.3 5G CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES 203
12.4 CURRENT 5G DEVELOPMENTS 204
12.4.1 UNITED KINGDOM: GOVERNMENT 204
12.4.2 KOREA: SAMSUNG 204
13.0 SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS 206
13.1 CARRIERS 206
13.2 CONTENT PROVIDERS 208
13.3 APPLICATION DEVELOPERS 209
13.3.1 CONSUMER MARKET 209
13.3.2 ENTERPRISE MARKET 210
13.3.3 INDEPENDENTS 211
13.4 INFRASTRUCTURE PROVIDERS 214
13.4.1 ERICSSON 215
13.4.2 HUAWEI 215
13.4.3 NOKIA SIEMENS NETWORKS 216
13.4.4 ALCATEL-LUCENT 216
13.4.5 ZTE 216
13.5 WIRELESS DEVICE PROVIDERS 219
13.5.1 OVERVIEW 219
13.5.2 LTE HANDSET ISSUES 221
14.0 APPENDIX 224
14.1.1 HISTORY OF NGN AND LTE 224
14.1.2 LTE KEY TECHNOLOGIES 225
14.2 LTE TECHNOLOGY AND ARCHITECTURE 227
14.2.1 LTE TECHNOLOGY 228
14.2.2 LTE ADVANCED 230
14.2.3 LTE INFRASTRUCTURE ELEMENTS AND ARCHITECTURE 232
14.3 LTE ARCHITECTURE DETAILS 241
14.3.1 SERVICE ARCHITECTURE 242
14.3.2 LAYER 2 OF LTE 243
14.3.3 DOWNLINK LOGICAL 244
14.3.4 UPLINK LOGICAL 245
14.3.5 MOBILITY ACROSS ENBS 246
14.4 IP MULTIMEDIA SUBSYSTEM AND SERVICE DELIVER 247
14.4.1 SDP ARCHITECTURE 247
14.4.2 SDP AND OSS/BSS 249
14.4.3 IP MULTIMEDIA SUBSYSTEM (IMS) 250
14.4.4 TECHNOLOGIES SUPPORTING IMS 254
14.4.5 IMS AND SIP 254
14.5 OTHER LTE NETWORK AND APPLICATION ENABLERS 259
14.5.1 PRESENCE 259
14.5.2 IDENTITY, PERSONAL DATA, AND PREFERENCE MANAGEMENT 263
14.5.3 TELECOM API AND MANAGEMENT 265

Figure 1: Evolution of Wireless 12
Figure 2: Landline/Fixed Losses Forecast 14
Figure 3: Migration from Landline to VoIP Forecast 14
Figure 4: Evolution of Broadband Wireless 16
Figure 5: 3G vs. 4G 19
Figure 6: 4G Evolution 21
Figure 7: LTE vs. LTE Advanced 22
Figure 8: Market Share by Wireless Technology 24
Figure 9: Global LTE Subscription/Penetration by Country 36
Figure 10: Global LTE Subscriptions 46
Figure 11: Overall Mobile Penetration by Region 47
Figure 12: Public Safety LTE Network 51
Figure 13: Global LTE Devices by Type 53
Figure 14: Global LTE Devices by FDD/TDD 54
Figure 15: Global Mobile Data Usage 55
Figure 16: Mobile Internet vs. Total Internet 56
Figure 17: Mobile Broadband Market by Technology 56
Figure 18: LTE Spectrum Usage 58
Figure 19: Global Infrastructure Spending: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 60
Figure 20: Global Spending on Infrastructure by Tech 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 60
Figure 21: Global Spending on Infrastructure by Tech Generation: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 61
Figure 22: Global RAN and Core Network Infrastructure Spending Compared: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 61
Figure 23: Wireless Network Infrastructure Spending by Region: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 62
Figure 24: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 62
Figure 25: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 63
Figure 26: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments by Technology: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 63
Figure 27: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Technology: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 64
Figure 28: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments by Technology Generation (2G, 3G, 4G): 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 64
Figure 29: Global Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Technology Generation (2G, 3G, 4G): 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 64
Figure 30: Macro Cell Unit Shipments by Region: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 65
Figure 31: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Region: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 65
Figure 32: Infrastructure Spending in Asia Pacific: 2010 – 2017 (USD Millions) 66
Figure 33: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Asia Pacific: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 66
Figure 34: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in Asia Pacific: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 67
Figure 35: Infrastructure Spending in Eastern Europe: 2010 – 2017 (USD Millions) 67
Figure 36: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Europe: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 68
Figure 37: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in Europe: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 68
Figure 38: Infrastructure Spending in Latin & Central America: 2010 – 2017 (USD Millions) 69
Figure 39: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Latin & Central America: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 69
Figure 40: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in Latin & Central America: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 69
Figure 41: Infrastructure Spending in the Middle East & Africa: 2010 – 2017 (USD Millions) 70
Figure 42: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in the Middle East & Africa: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 70
Figure 43: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in the Middle East & Africa: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 70
Figure 44: Wireless Network Infrastructure Spending in North America: 2010 – 2017 (USD Millions) 71
Figure 45: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in North America: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 71
Figure 46: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Revenue in North America: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 71
Figure 47: Infrastructure Spending in Western Europe: 2010 – 2017 (USD Millions) 72
Figure 48: Macro Cell Unit Shipments in Western Europe: 2010 ? 2017 (Thousands) 72
Figure 49: Macro Cell Unit Shipments Rev Western Europe: 2010 ? 2017 (USD Millions) 72
Figure 50: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2017 (Thousands of Units) 73
Figure 51: Mobile Usage in Last Two Decades 74
Figure 52: Global LTE Subscribers by Region 75
Figure 53: Data Traffic in Largest LTE Countries/Operators 75
Figure 54: Usage Patterns in Representative Countries 76
Figure 55: Mobile Data Traffic by Region 77
Figure 56: Wireless Spectrum Demand Projections 78
Figure 57: LTE in United States 79
Figure 58: LTE in Latin America 80
Figure 59: Top MNO’s in Latin America 81
Figure 60: LTE Launches in Europe by Operator 83
Figure 61: Middle East LTE Carrier Services Revenue 86
Figure 62: Africa LTE Market 88
Figure 63: LTE Key Characteristics : 96
Figure 64: Anticipated Wireless Capacity Growth 100
Figure 65: Mobile Data Usage Growth Forecast 101
Figure 66: Global Growth Forecast for Devices and Data Usage 101
Figure 67: Data Usage by Device Type 102
Figure 68: Per-Device Usage Growth to 2017 103
Figure 69: Device Growth and Mobile Data Usage Growth to 2017 103
Figure 70: Global Mobile Data Forecast by Region to 2017 104
Figure 71: Migration from Existing Networks to 4G 105
Figure 72: Self Organizing Network Use Cases 109
Figure 73: Average Texting by User Segment 116
Figure 74: Video Usage by Screen Type 122
Figure 75: Mobile Video Forecast to 2017 123
Figure 76: Mobile Data in the Cloud Forecast to 2017 125
Figure 77: Mobile Commerce Continuum 126
Figure 78: Pull and Push Content Models 129
Figure 79: Value-added Services vs. Core Services 130
Figure 80: Worldwide Mobile Data Usage 134
Figure 81: Mobile TV Ecosystem 140
Figure 82: VoLTE Call Continuity 143
Figure 83: RCS, APIs, and Applications 147
Figure 84: Enhanced Address Book Benefits 152
Figure 85: RCS Application Integration 153
Figure 86: Global LTE Subscriptions: 2013 ? 2018 (Millions) 157
Figure 87: Global LTE Service Revenues: 2013 ? 2018 ($ Billion) 157
Figure 88: Consumer and Enterprise LTE Subs: 2013 ? 2018 (Millions) 158
Figure 89: Consumer and Enterprise LTE Service Rev: 2013 ? 2018 ($ Billion) 159
Figure 90: Networked Business Framework 160
Figure 91: Disruptive Potential of Connectivity 161
Figure 92: LTE Value Chain: Traditional Enterprise and Vertical Segments 163
Figure 93: Global LTE Subscriptions by Industry: 2013 ? 2018 (Thousands) 163
Figure 94: Global LTE Devices in 2013 164
Figure 95: Global LTE Device Forecast to 2018 164
Figure 96: Industry LTE Device Trends to 2030 164
Figure 97: Global Mobile Data by Category Forecast to 2017 165
Figure 98: Global Mobile Data by Device Forecast to 2017 165
Figure 99: Global Mobile Data by Region Forecast to 2017 166
Figure 100: Connection Speeds by Region Forecast to 2017 167
Figure 101: LTE Market Drivers by Operational Improvement 169
Figure 102: Global Smartphone and Tablet Ownership by Country 172
Figure 103: Global Smartphone Market by Region 173
Figure 104: Global Tablet Market by Region 174
Figure 105: HetNets Topology 176
Figure 106: Carrier WiFi and Small Cells 177
Figure 107: Mobile Marketing Investment Growth by Type Forecast to 2015 180
Figure 108: Mobile Marketing Expenditures by Type Forecast to 2015 180
Figure 109: Augmented Reality 185
Figure 110: Enterprise Corporate Dashboard 191
Figure 111: Enterprise Corporate Dashboard: Employee Locator Application 192
Figure 112: Global M2M Growth by 2G/3G/4G Forecast to 2017 193
Figure 113: Global M2M Data Growth Forecast to 2017 194
Figure 114: Evolution of Carrier Business Models and Third Parties 203
Figure 115: Wireless Network Infrastructure RAN Vendor Ranking Matrix 2012 220
Figure 116: Core Network Vendor Ranking Matrix 2012 221
Figure 117: 4G Handset Technical Issues 226
Figure 118: LTE E-UTRAN Infrastructure Network Elements 236
Figure 119: LTE EPC Infrastructure Network Elements 241
Figure 120: Understanding LTE Network Elements and Channels 246
Figure 121: IMS Planes 254
Figure 122: IMS Model 256
Figure 123: SIP Configuration and Protocols 259
Figure 124: Presence in Telecom Networks 262
Figure 125: NGN Presence Architecture 263
Figure 126: Dynamic Address Book (DAM) 266
Figure 127: Wireless Carrier Assets 268
Figure 128: SDM Industry Roadmap: 2012 – 2017 270


【レポート販売概要】

■ タイトル:LTE戦略2013-2018(LTE Strategy 2013 – 2018)
■ 発行日:2013年5月26日
■ 調査会社:Mind Commerce
■ 商品コード:MCM31221052
■ 調査対象地域:グローバル
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